OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
48-11 | Road
146
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
25-33 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
SPURS
100%
THUNDER
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
OKC By 1-7 points
27.3%
OKC By 8-14 points
20.8%
SA By 1-7 points
21.0%
SA By 8-14 points
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma City
122.35
OKLAHOMA CITY
San Antonio
118.94
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Thunder (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 30, 2026
SA @ OKC
111 - 103
May 28, 2026
OKC @ SA
91 - 118
May 26, 2026
SA @ OKC
114 - 127
May 24, 2026
OKC @ SA
82 - 103
May 22, 2026
OKC @ SA
123 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Oklahoma City: 82.0%
vs
San Antonio: 73.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.3%
Oklahoma City: 39.4%
vs
San Antonio: 31.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Oklahoma City: 49.8%
vs
San Antonio: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKC Score
122.4
146
SA Score
118.9
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 39.4
41.9 / 43.2
Assists
30.0 / 31.4
36.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 49.8
56.0 / 54.5
Free Throw %
73.0 / 82.0
75.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
41.9 / 45.4
35.0 / 45.0
Steals
10.2 / 9.7
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.8
13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
SA
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
OKC
SA
OKC
ML
60%
111-73
70%
80-34
58%
61-44
48%
46-49
ATS
58%
107-76-1
73%
83-30-1
58%
61-44
48%
46-49
TTL
74%
134-47-3
67%
76-38
100%
105-0
100%
95-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Wallabies Select Suaalii on Wing, Henry to Debut in Bledisloe Cu…