DETROIT
PISTONSDET
34-27 | Road
134
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-45 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
JAZZ
0%
PISTONS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
DET By 1-7 points
21.9%
DET By 8-14 points
11.0%
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
19.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
118.68
DETROIT
Utah
121.46
UTAH
Simulated Score
Detroit
DETROIT
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 240.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 26, 2025
DET @ UTAH
129 - 131
Nov 5, 2025
UTAH @ DET
103 - 114
Mar 3, 2025
DET @ UTAH
134 - 106
Dec 19, 2024
UTAH @ DET
126 - 119
Jan 3, 2024
DET @ UTAH
148 - 154
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.5% more
Detroit: 8.1
vs
Utah: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+46.6% more
Detroit: 9.8
vs
Utah: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Detroit: 18.3
vs
Utah: 14.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Detroit: 76.6%
vs
Utah: 68.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
118.7
134
UTAH Score
121.5
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 38.5
30.3 / 26.8
Assists
31.9 / 30.4
19.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.4 / 8.1
1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 51.0
42.7 / 55.4
Free Throw %
68.8 / 76.6
81.3 / 75.0
Rebounding
46.3 / 46.2
41.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.2 / 9.8
7.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 18.3
28.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
DET
UTAH
DET
ML
60%
96-63
55%
64-53
48%
40-43
49%
47-49
ATS
68%
108-51
53%
60-54-3
48%
40-43
49%
47-49
TTL
75%
119-39-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
96-0
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