UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-46 | Road
122
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
11-49 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
WIZARDS
100%
JAZZ
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.5
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.5 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -6.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
26.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
24.8%
WSH By 1-7 points
16.2%
WSH By 8-14 points
6.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
112.53
UTAH
Washington
106.08
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
WSH @ UTAH
133 - 110
Mar 5, 2026
UTAH @ WSH
122 - 112
Mar 19, 2025
WSH @ UTAH
112 - 128
Mar 5, 2025
UTAH @ WSH
122 - 125
Mar 4, 2024
WSH @ UTAH
115 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+15.8% more
Utah: 19.2
vs
Washington: 16.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Utah: 35.0%
vs
Washington: 32.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Utah: 45.9%
vs
Washington: 43.6%
Blocks (L5)
+69.3% more
Washington: 4.4
vs
Utah: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
112.5
122
WSH Score
106.1
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 35.0
36.2 / 35.0
Assists
25.9 / 27.6
32.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.6
12.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 45.9
44.2 / 46.5
Free Throw %
83.2 / 73.0
82.8 / 70.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 44.5
45.0 / 58.0
Steals
8.8 / 5.8
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 19.2
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
UTAH
WSH
UTAH
ML
70%
112-49
60%
96-63
47%
39-44
48%
40-43
ATS
69%
111-49-1
68%
108-51
47%
39-44
48%
40-43
TTL
74%
119-41-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
83-0
100%
83-0
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