UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-47 | Road
109
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
20-42 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
RAPTORS
100%
JAZZ
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
23.9%
TOR By 1-7 points
17.5%
TOR By 8-14 points
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
111.42
UTAH
Toronto
105.76
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Toronto
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
TOR @ UTAH
143 - 127
Feb 1, 2026
UTAH @ TOR
100 - 107
Mar 14, 2025
TOR @ UTAH
126 - 118
Mar 7, 2025
UTAH @ TOR
109 - 118
Jan 12, 2024
TOR @ UTAH
113 - 145
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Utah: 49.0
vs
Toronto: 45.0
Blocks (L5)
+71.6% more
Toronto: 4.7
vs
Utah: 2.7
Steals (L5)
+28.0% more
Toronto: 7.1
vs
Utah: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
Toronto: 75.2%
vs
Utah: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
111.4
109
TOR Score
105.8
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 35.0
30.4 / 25.8
Assists
26.3 / 25.4
27.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.7
5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 46.1
38.5 / 46.4
Free Throw %
75.2 / 72.0
85.7 / 59.0
Rebounding
45.0 / 49.0
48.0 / 56.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.5
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 17.8
10.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
UTAH
TOR
UTAH
ML
55%
57-47
60%
96-63
55%
48-39
48%
40-43
ATS
61%
62-40-2
68%
108-51
55%
48-39
48%
40-43
TTL
60%
62-42
75%
119-39-1
100%
87-0
100%
83-0
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