UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-48 | Road
122
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
21-41 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
76ERS
100%
JAZZ
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
26.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
16.8%
PHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
13.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
109.23
UTAH
Philadelphia
108.29
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 21, 2026
PHI @ UTAH
126 - 116
Mar 4, 2026
UTAH @ PHI
102 - 106
Mar 9, 2025
UTAH @ PHI
122 - 126
Dec 28, 2024
PHI @ UTAH
114 - 111
Feb 1, 2024
PHI @ UTAH
127 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.3% more
Utah: 20.2
vs
Philadelphia: 13.5
Blocks (L5)
+25.5% more
Utah: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Utah: 51.3
vs
Philadelphia: 41.4
Steals (L5)
+48.9% more
Philadelphia: 8.0
vs
Utah: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
109.2
122
PHI Score
108.3
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 31.9
34.0 / 39.1
Assists
25.5 / 24.0
27.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.1
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 46.2
44.8 / 41.9
Free Throw %
76.4 / 67.7
96.0 / 83.9
Rebounding
41.4 / 51.3
50.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.4
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 20.2
18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
UTAH
PHI
UTAH
ML
63%
69-40
60%
96-63
48%
45-48
48%
40-43
ATS
65%
71-38
68%
108-51
48%
45-48
48%
40-43
TTL
55%
60-49
75%
119-39-1
100%
93-0
100%
83-0
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