UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-49 | Road
108
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
46-18 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
CELTICS
0%
JAZZ
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
UTAH By 1-7 points
8.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
2.2%
BOS By 1-7 points
20.4%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
108.99
UTAH
Boston
120.81
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Boston
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
BOS @ UTAH
129 - 119
Nov 3, 2025
UTAH @ BOS
105 - 103
Mar 21, 2025
BOS @ UTAH
121 - 99
Mar 10, 2025
UTAH @ BOS
108 - 114
Mar 12, 2024
BOS @ UTAH
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Boston: 81.8%
vs
Utah: 73.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Boston: 38.5%
vs
Utah: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Boston: 47.9%
vs
Utah: 44.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+41.7% more
Utah: 19.5
vs
Boston: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
109.0
108
BOS Score
120.8
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 34.3
34.0 / 34.2
Assists
25.8 / 24.3
28.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.8
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 44.8
43.0 / 45.3
Free Throw %
81.8 / 73.1
88.9 / 75.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 48.9
47.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.6
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 19.5
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
UTAH
BOS
UTAH
ML
57%
61-46
60%
96-63
53%
47-41
48%
40-43
ATS
59%
61-43-3
68%
108-51
53%
47-41
48%
40-43
TTL
56%
60-47
75%
119-39-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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