Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Kings NY @ SAC

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

40-23  |  Road

133
FINAL
Mon, Mar 10 • 10:30 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

33-30  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
KNICKS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

54.9%

Kings Cover

45.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

26.4%

NY By 8-14 points

17.3%

SAC By 1-7 points

24.0%

SAC By 8-14 points

13.4%

AI Model Projected Score
114.21
NEW YORK
112.99
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 SAC @ NY 87 - 103
Jan 14, 2026 NY @ SAC 101 - 112
Mar 10, 2025 NY @ SAC 133 - 104
Jan 25, 2025 SAC @ NY 120 - 143
Apr 4, 2024 SAC @ NY 109 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.8% more
New York: 14.4 vs Sacramento: 10.1
Assists (L5) +13.6% more
Sacramento: 27.7 vs New York: 24.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.1%
Sacramento: 37.0% vs New York: 27.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Sacramento: 48.7% vs New York: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 114.2 133
SAC Score 113.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 27.8 29.4 / 55.0
Assists 27.7 / 24.4 18.0 / 34.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.8 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 42.4 41.9 / 53.6
Free Throw % 80.1 / 81.4 84.6 / 80.8
Rebounding 46.9 / 46.4 37.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.8 7.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 14.4 18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
NY
SAC
NY
ML
55% 55-45
61% 114-72
61% 50-32
56% 57-45
ATS
54% 52-45-3
67% 124-62
61% 50-32
56% 57-45
TTL
58% 57-42-1
72% 133-53
100% 82-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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