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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

13-50  |  Road

103
FINAL
Tue, Mar 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

36-29  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
WIZARDS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Detroit)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

44.4%

Pistons Cover

55.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

WSH By 1-7 points

23.8%

WSH By 8-14 points

13.1%

DET By 1-7 points

26.5%

DET By 8-14 points

17.6%

AI Model Projected Score
114.34
WASHINGTON
115.76
DETROIT
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 DET @ WSH 117 - 95
Mar 17, 2026 DET @ WSH 130 - 117
Feb 5, 2026 WSH @ DET 126 - 117
Nov 10, 2025 WSH @ DET 135 - 137
Oct 16, 2025 WSH @ DET 98 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.9% more
Detroit: 15.9 vs Washington: 12.4
Steals (L5) +11.9% more
Detroit: 9.3 vs Washington: 8.3
Field Goal % (L5) +8.6%
Detroit: 50.0% vs Washington: 41.3%
Blocks (L5) +27.6% more
Washington: 8.6 vs Detroit: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 114.3 103
DET Score 115.8 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 32.3 42.1 / 33.3
Assists 24.3 / 27.2 29.0 / 20.0
Blocks 6.2 / 8.6 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 41.3 46.2 / 40.2
Free Throw % 75.1 / 80.0 73.3 / 80.0
Rebounding 45.8 / 48.5 61.0 / 47.0
Steals 9.3 / 8.3 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 12.4 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WSH
DET
WSH
ML
55% 64-53
70% 112-49
49% 47-49
47% 39-44
ATS
53% 60-54-3
69% 111-49-1
49% 47-49
47% 39-44
TTL
60% 70-46-1
74% 119-41-1
100% 96-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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