Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Pelicans LAC @ NO

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

35-29  |  Road

120
FINAL
Tue, Mar 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

17-48  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
CLIPPERS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (New Orleans)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

43.7%

Pelicans Cover

56.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

LAC By 1-7 points

23.6%

LAC By 8-14 points

12.8%

NO By 1-7 points

26.6%

NO By 8-14 points

17.9%

AI Model Projected Score
110.64
LA
112.23
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
LA
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 LAC @ NO 99 - 105
Mar 18, 2026 LAC @ NO 109 - 124
Mar 1, 2026 NO @ LAC 117 - 137
Oct 31, 2025 NO @ LAC 124 - 126
Apr 2, 2025 NO @ LAC 98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.2% more
New Orleans: 13.4 vs LA: 11.0
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
New Orleans: 25.6 vs LA: 23.4
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
LA: 75.2% vs New Orleans: 69.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
LA: 49.2% vs New Orleans: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 110.6 120
NO Score 112.2 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 36.7 54.8 / 33.3
Assists 25.6 / 23.4 34.0 / 34.0
Blocks 4.9 / 5.3 7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 49.2 55.3 / 50.0
Free Throw % 69.1 / 75.2 88.9 / 77.8
Rebounding 41.6 / 40.0 46.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.9 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 11.0 19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
LAC
NO
LAC
ML
62% 98-61
60% 59-40
58% 48-35
55% 45-37
ATS
68% 107-51-1
66% 65-33-1
58% 48-35
55% 45-37
TTL
75% 119-40
59% 58-40-1
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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