UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-50 | Road
115
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
41-24 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
GRIZZLIES
0%
JAZZ
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
UTAH By 1-7 points
17.7%
UTAH By 8-14 points
7.4%
MEM By 1-7 points
27.1%
MEM By 8-14 points
23.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
111.58
UTAH
Memphis
117.1
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Memphis
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
137 - 128
Dec 12, 2025
UTAH @ MEM
130 - 126
Mar 25, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
140 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.3% more
Memphis: 9.0
vs
Utah: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+44.3% more
Memphis: 6.5
vs
Utah: 4.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Memphis: 81.7%
vs
Utah: 73.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.1% more
Utah: 17.0
vs
Memphis: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
111.6
115
MEM Score
117.1
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 34.3
45.5 / 35.3
Assists
26.4 / 25.9
30.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.5 / 4.5
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 44.9
45.7 / 46.7
Free Throw %
81.7 / 73.7
76.2 / 67.9
Rebounding
48.1 / 48.6
39.0 / 60.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.1
15.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 17.0
9.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
ML
57%
59-44
60%
96-63
50%
41-41
48%
40-43
ATS
63%
65-38
68%
108-51
50%
41-41
48%
40-43
TTL
70%
71-31-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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