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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

13-51  |  Road

129
FINAL
Thu, Mar 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

37-29  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
WIZARDS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.3 points (Detroit)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

20.4%

Pistons Cover

79.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -8.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

WSH By 1-7 points

13.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

4.6%

DET By 1-7 points

25.1%

DET By 8-14 points

26.4%

AI Model Projected Score
109.91
WASHINGTON
118.18
DETROIT
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 228.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 DET @ WSH 117 - 95
Mar 17, 2026 DET @ WSH 130 - 117
Feb 5, 2026 WSH @ DET 126 - 117
Nov 10, 2025 WSH @ DET 135 - 137
Oct 16, 2025 WSH @ DET 98 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +16.3% more
Detroit: 14.6 vs Washington: 12.6
Steals (L5) +8.3% more
Detroit: 8.5 vs Washington: 7.9
Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
Detroit: 48.7% vs Washington: 41.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Detroit: 34.3% vs Washington: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 109.9 129
DET Score 118.2 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 32.7 33.3 / 44.4
Assists 25.9 / 24.8 23.0 / 30.0
Blocks 5.8 / 7.1 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 41.0 45.9 / 47.8
Free Throw % 74.5 / 80.0 86.0 / 85.2
Rebounding 50.9 / 48.0 41.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.9 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 12.6 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WSH
DET
WSH
ML
55% 64-53
70% 112-49
49% 47-49
47% 39-44
ATS
53% 60-54-3
69% 111-49-1
49% 47-49
47% 39-44
TTL
60% 70-46-1
74% 119-41-1
100% 96-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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