CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
28-39 | Road
111
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-53 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
JAZZ
100%
BULLS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
21.4%
UTAH By 1-7 points
20.4%
UTAH By 8-14 points
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
117.34
CHICAGO
Utah
113.53
UTAH
Simulated Score
Chicago
CHICAGO
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
UTAH @ CHI
126 - 128
Nov 16, 2025
CHI @ UTAH
147 - 150
Mar 17, 2025
CHI @ UTAH
111 - 97
Nov 4, 2024
UTAH @ CHI
135 - 126
Mar 6, 2024
CHI @ UTAH
119 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.5% more
Chicago: 4.9
vs
Utah: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Chicago: 84.6%
vs
Utah: 75.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Chicago: 46.8%
vs
Utah: 44.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+63.7% more
Utah: 19.6
vs
Chicago: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
117.3
111
UTAH Score
113.5
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 33.4
21.4 / 31.1
Assists
24.0 / 26.0
20.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.9
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 46.8
40.7 / 43.3
Free Throw %
75.8 / 84.6
81.8 / 81.3
Rebounding
45.7 / 44.9
48.0 / 49.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.3
4.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
19.6 / 11.9
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CHI
UTAH
CHI
ML
60%
96-63
56%
54-42
48%
40-43
57%
46-35
ATS
68%
108-51
65%
62-33-1
48%
40-43
57%
46-35
TTL
75%
119-39-1
58%
56-40
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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