WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
15-51 | Road
97
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
29-39 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
WIZARDS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WSH -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1-7 points
26.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
17.4%
POR By 1-7 points
24.0%
POR By 8-14 points
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
114.45
WASHINGTON
Portland
113.19
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Portland
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wizards (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
WSH @ POR
88 - 123
Jan 27, 2026
POR @ WSH
111 - 115
Mar 17, 2025
WSH @ POR
97 - 112
Feb 26, 2025
POR @ WSH
129 - 121
Apr 5, 2024
POR @ WSH
108 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.5% more
Washington: 29.0
vs
Portland: 21.9
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Washington: 9.4
vs
Portland: 8.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
Washington: 83.9%
vs
Portland: 76.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Washington: 38.4%
vs
Portland: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
114.5
97
POR Score
113.2
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 38.4
32.6 / 30.0
Assists
21.9 / 29.0
25.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.6 / 5.6
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 45.0
42.4 / 41.3
Free Throw %
76.8 / 83.9
68.4 / 75.0
Rebounding
48.6 / 46.4
50.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.0 / 9.4
15.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
19.9 / 14.8
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
WSH
POR
WSH
ML
53%
56-49
70%
112-49
55%
49-40
47%
39-44
ATS
62%
65-39-1
69%
111-49-1
55%
49-40
47%
39-44
TTL
56%
58-46-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
89-0
100%
83-0
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