WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
15-52 | Road
112
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
15-54 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
JAZZ
0%
WIZARDS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
WSH By 1-7 points
19.6%
WSH By 8-14 points
8.8%
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.4%
UTAH By 8-14 points
22.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
108.3
WASHINGTON
Utah
112.65
UTAH
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
WSH @ UTAH
133 - 110
Mar 5, 2026
UTAH @ WSH
122 - 112
Mar 19, 2025
WSH @ UTAH
112 - 128
Mar 5, 2025
UTAH @ WSH
122 - 125
Mar 4, 2024
WSH @ UTAH
115 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.9% more
Utah: 18.7
vs
Washington: 15.2
Blocks (L5)
+45.4% more
Washington: 6.1
vs
Utah: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+29.8% more
Washington: 8.3
vs
Utah: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+20.1% more
Washington: 28.4
vs
Utah: 22.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
108.3
112
UTAH Score
112.7
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 35.6
40.5 / 26.7
Assists
22.7 / 28.4
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.3 / 6.1
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 43.7
56.2 / 46.2
Free Throw %
77.8 / 80.9
61.1 / 77.8
Rebounding
46.5 / 47.3
42.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.8 / 8.3
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
18.7 / 15.2
17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
UTAH
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
WSH
UTAH
WSH
ML
60%
96-63
70%
112-49
48%
40-43
47%
39-44
ATS
68%
108-51
69%
111-49-1
48%
40-43
47%
39-44
TTL
75%
119-39-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
83-0
100%
83-0
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