Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Hornets NY @ CHA

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

43-25  |  Road

98
FINAL
Thu, Mar 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

17-51  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
KNICKS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

70.8%

Hornets Cover

29.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.1%

NY By 8-14 points

23.6%

CHA By 1-7 points

17.8%

CHA By 8-14 points

7.4%

AI Model Projected Score
109.71
NEW YORK
104.24
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 CHA @ NY 110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026 NY @ CHA 103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025 CHA @ NY 104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025 NY @ CHA 129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025 NY @ CHA 98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.0% more
New York: 8.8 vs Charlotte: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
New York: 37.0% vs Charlotte: 33.2%
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
Charlotte: 15.6 vs New York: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 109.7 98
CHA Score 104.2 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 37.0 46.9 / 25.6
Assists 28.5 / 27.1 25.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.8 / 5.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 45.2 48.9 / 40.0
Free Throw % 83.9 / 83.1 82.4 / 80.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 43.5 52.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.8 1.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 13.1 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
NY
CHA
NY
ML
61% 60-39
61% 114-72
48% 40-44
56% 57-45
ATS
60% 59-40
67% 124-62
48% 40-44
56% 57-45
TTL
58% 57-42
72% 133-53
100% 84-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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