ORLANDO
MAGICORL
32-38 | Road
120
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
15-53 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
WIZARDS
100%
MAGIC
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.5
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.5 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -7.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
25.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
25.8%
WSH By 1-7 points
14.6%
WSH By 8-14 points
5.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
114.15
ORLANDO
Washington
106.68
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Orlando
ORLANDO
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
WSH @ ORL
131 - 136
Mar 3, 2026
WSH @ ORL
109 - 126
Jan 6, 2026
ORL @ WSH
112 - 120
Nov 1, 2025
ORL @ WSH
125 - 94
Apr 3, 2025
ORL @ WSH
109 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Orlando: 82.5%
vs
Washington: 79.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Orlando: 34.3%
vs
Washington: 32.7%
Assists (L5)
+35.0% more
Washington: 28.9
vs
Orlando: 21.4
Blocks (L5)
+20.7% more
Washington: 5.4
vs
Orlando: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
114.2
120
WSH Score
106.7
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 34.3
43.6 / 40.5
Assists
28.9 / 21.4
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.5
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 44.4
42.5 / 47.9
Free Throw %
79.9 / 82.5
73.7 / 84.6
Rebounding
43.9 / 40.1
41.0 / 55.0
Steals
9.5 / 8.5
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.9
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
ORL
WSH
ORL
ML
70%
112-49
61%
65-42
47%
39-44
56%
51-40
ATS
69%
111-49-1
64%
68-38-1
47%
39-44
56%
51-40
TTL
74%
119-41-1
57%
61-46
100%
83-0
100%
91-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
Orlando Magic Preseason: Three Players with the Most to Gain Und…
Thunder's Young Core Shines in Preseason Loss to Pelicans
Anthony Davis's Max Contract Ambitions Could Shape Wizards' Futu…