BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
50-19 | Road
121
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-54 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
JAZZ
100%
CELTICS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
25.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.0%
UTAH By 1-7 points
14.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
5.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
116.13
BOSTON
Utah
108.42
UTAH
Simulated Score
Boston
BOSTON
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
BOS @ UTAH
129 - 119
Nov 3, 2025
UTAH @ BOS
105 - 103
Mar 21, 2025
BOS @ UTAH
121 - 99
Mar 10, 2025
UTAH @ BOS
108 - 114
Mar 12, 2024
BOS @ UTAH
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.7% more
Boston: 5.6
vs
Utah: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+10.3% more
Boston: 6.9
vs
Utah: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.0%
Boston: 82.2%
vs
Utah: 72.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+55.0% more
Utah: 18.1
vs
Boston: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
116.1
121
UTAH Score
108.4
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 34.8
40.0 / 33.3
Assists
25.1 / 24.8
24.0 / 27.0
Blocks
2.5 / 5.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 46.3
45.2 / 46.4
Free Throw %
72.2 / 82.2
75.0 / 87.5
Rebounding
45.0 / 43.6
38.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.9
7.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
18.1 / 11.7
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
BOS
UTAH
BOS
ML
60%
96-63
57%
61-46
48%
40-43
53%
47-41
ATS
68%
108-51
59%
61-43-3
48%
40-43
53%
47-41
TTL
75%
119-39-1
56%
60-47
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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