WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
15-54 | Road
103
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
43-26 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
KNICKS
0%
WIZARDS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -13.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
WSH By 1-7 points
6.6%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.6%
NY By 1-7 points
18.2%
NY By 8-14 points
26.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
102.56
WASHINGTON
New York
115.75
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
WSH @ NY
113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026
NY @ WSH
132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025
WSH @ NY
102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025
WSH @ NY
120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
WSH @ NY
103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
New York: 82.1%
vs
Washington: 77.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+25.4% more
Washington: 14.9
vs
New York: 11.1
Steals (L5)
+11.1% more
Washington: 10.0
vs
New York: 8.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Washington: 36.3%
vs
New York: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
102.6
103
NY Score
115.8
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 36.3
37.1 / 30.6
Assists
26.7 / 26.9
29.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.9
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 43.9
48.4 / 44.3
Free Throw %
82.1 / 77.8
77.8 / 73.7
Rebounding
41.7 / 42.9
49.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.9 / 10.0
13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 14.9
16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
WSH
NY
WSH
ML
61%
114-72
70%
112-49
56%
57-45
47%
39-44
ATS
67%
124-62
69%
111-49-1
56%
57-45
47%
39-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
119-41-1
100%
102-0
100%
83-0
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