CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
56-14 | Road
120
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-55 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
JAZZ
100%
CAVALIERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -7.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
25.4%
UTAH By 1-7 points
15.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
5.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
117.45
CLEVELAND
Utah
110.39
UTAH
Simulated Score
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
CLE @ UTAH
122 - 113
Jan 12, 2026
UTAH @ CLE
123 - 112
Mar 23, 2025
CLE @ UTAH
120 - 91
Dec 23, 2024
UTAH @ CLE
113 - 124
Apr 2, 2024
CLE @ UTAH
129 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Cleveland: 8.4
vs
Utah: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+13.2% more
Cleveland: 2.7
vs
Utah: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Cleveland: 75.6%
vs
Utah: 73.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+48.6% more
Utah: 17.8
vs
Cleveland: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
117.5
120
UTAH Score
110.4
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 35.4
32.0 / 22.9
Assists
24.7 / 24.9
25.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.7
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 47.6
36.0 / 45.8
Free Throw %
73.2 / 75.6
61.1 / 67.7
Rebounding
42.7 / 40.9
52.0 / 51.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.4
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 12.0
21.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CLE
UTAH
CLE
ML
60%
96-63
60%
69-46
48%
40-43
56%
55-44
ATS
68%
108-51
67%
75-37-3
48%
40-43
56%
55-44
TTL
75%
119-39-1
59%
68-47
100%
83-0
100%
99-0
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