SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
30-39 | Road
123
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
24-46 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
SPURS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
SA By 1-7 points
24.2%
SA By 8-14 points
13.6%
TOR By 1-7 points
26.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
116.48
SAN ANTONIO
Toronto
117.57
TORONTO
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Toronto
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
SA @ TOR
110 - 107
Oct 27, 2025
TOR @ SA
103 - 121
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ SA
118 - 125
Mar 23, 2025
SA @ TOR
123 - 89
Feb 12, 2024
SA @ TOR
122 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.3% more
Toronto: 17.6
vs
San Antonio: 14.4
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Toronto: 46.8
vs
San Antonio: 40.9
Blocks (L5)
+33.2% more
San Antonio: 4.9
vs
Toronto: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+19.7% more
San Antonio: 9.1
vs
Toronto: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
116.5
123
TOR Score
117.6
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 44.1
25.6 / 32.6
Assists
27.7 / 31.0
27.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.9
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 50.4
38.0 / 47.7
Free Throw %
76.9 / 78.4
69.2 / 84.4
Rebounding
46.8 / 40.9
46.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.1
8.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 14.4
22.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SA
TOR
SA
ML
55%
57-47
60%
111-73
55%
48-39
58%
61-44
ATS
61%
62-40-2
58%
107-76-1
55%
48-39
58%
61-44
TTL
60%
62-42
74%
134-47-3
100%
87-0
100%
105-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…