Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Pelicans PHI @ NO

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

23-48  |  Road

99
FINAL
Mon, Mar 24 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

19-53  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
76ERS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (New Orleans)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

44.2%

Pelicans Cover

55.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

PHI By 1-7 points

23.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

13.0%

NO By 1-7 points

26.5%

NO By 8-14 points

17.7%

AI Model Projected Score
108.02
PHILADELPHIA
109.48
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 PHI @ NO 111 - 126
Jan 31, 2026 NO @ PHI 114 - 124
Mar 24, 2025 PHI @ NO 99 - 112
Jan 10, 2025 NO @ PHI 123 - 115
Mar 8, 2024 NO @ PHI 103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
New Orleans: 18.8 vs Philadelphia: 14.6
Blocks (L5) +15.3% more
New Orleans: 4.9 vs Philadelphia: 4.3
Assists (L5) +13.9% more
New Orleans: 27.8 vs Philadelphia: 24.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
New Orleans: 39.9% vs Philadelphia: 35.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 108.0 99
NO Score 109.5 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 35.2 42.9 / 33.3
Assists 27.8 / 24.4 36.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.9 / 4.3 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 47.1 49.4 / 39.1
Free Throw % 70.4 / 73.9 84.6 / 89.5
Rebounding 39.3 / 36.9 51.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.9 11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 18.8 / 14.6 17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
PHI
NO
PHI
ML
62% 98-61
63% 69-40
58% 48-35
48% 45-48
ATS
68% 107-51-1
65% 71-38
58% 48-35
48% 45-48
TTL
75% 119-40
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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