Home / NBA Projections NBA / Mavericks @ Knicks DAL @ NY

DALLAS

MAVERICKSDAL

35-37  |  Road

113
FINAL
Tue, Mar 25 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

44-26  |  Home

128
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
MAVERICKS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Dallas)
MavericksDAL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

56.2%

Knicks Cover

43.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

DAL By 1-7 points

26.6%

DAL By 8-14 points

17.9%

NY By 1-7 points

23.6%

NY By 8-14 points

12.8%

AI Model Projected Score
113.92
DALLAS
112.35
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
DALLAS
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mavericks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mavericks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 226.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 DAL @ NY 114 - 97
Nov 19, 2025 NY @ DAL 113 - 111
Mar 25, 2025 DAL @ NY 113 - 128
Nov 27, 2024 NY @ DAL 114 - 129
Feb 8, 2024 DAL @ NY 122 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +8.0%
Dallas: 53.1% vs New York: 45.1%
Blocks (L5) +40.6% more
New York: 4.0 vs Dallas: 2.9
Steals (L5) +27.0% more
New York: 10.3 vs Dallas: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
New York: 80.7% vs Dallas: 76.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 113.9 113
NY Score 112.4 128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 34.7 38.5 / 31.6
Assists 27.5 / 27.4 40.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 53.1 59.6 / 53.8
Free Throw % 80.7 / 76.4 66.7 / 84.0
Rebounding 44.1 / 40.9 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 10.3 / 8.1 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 13.8 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: +1.0
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DAL
NY
DAL
ML
61% 114-72
62% 63-39
56% 57-45
54% 44-37
ATS
67% 124-62
67% 68-34
56% 57-45
54% 44-37
TTL
72% 133-53
59% 60-41-1
100% 102-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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