MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
43-28 | Road
140
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-56 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
JAZZ
100%
GRIZZLIES
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-7 points
27.2%
MEM By 8-14 points
23.1%
UTAH By 1-7 points
18.5%
UTAH By 8-14 points
7.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
112.89
MEMPHIS
Utah
107.83
UTAH
Simulated Score
Memphis
MEMPHIS
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
137 - 128
Dec 12, 2025
UTAH @ MEM
130 - 126
Mar 25, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
140 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.4% more
Memphis: 9.2
vs
Utah: 5.6
Blocks (L5)
+28.8% more
Memphis: 4.6
vs
Utah: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.7%
Memphis: 80.8%
vs
Utah: 69.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Memphis: 44.9%
vs
Utah: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
112.9
140
UTAH Score
107.8
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 36.0
40.5 / 44.4
Assists
24.8 / 26.3
24.0 / 38.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 44.9
43.6 / 53.1
Free Throw %
69.1 / 80.8
81.8 / 88.9
Rebounding
45.8 / 43.3
28.0 / 52.0
Steals
5.6 / 9.2
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
18.8 / 11.9
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
MEM
ML
60%
96-63
57%
59-44
48%
40-43
50%
41-41
ATS
68%
108-51
63%
65-38
48%
40-43
50%
41-41
TTL
75%
119-39-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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