BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
23-51 | Road
115
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
16-57 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
NETS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.0%
WSH By 1-7 points
23.5%
WSH By 8-14 points
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
106.83
BROOKLYN
Washington
105.18
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ BKN
115 - 121
Feb 7, 2026
WSH @ BKN
113 - 127
Jan 2, 2026
BKN @ WSH
99 - 119
Nov 16, 2025
BKN @ WSH
129 - 106
Mar 29, 2025
BKN @ WSH
115 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+8.8% more
Brooklyn: 16.3
vs
Washington: 14.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Brooklyn: 75.0%
vs
Washington: 70.1%
Blocks (L5)
+14.8% more
Washington: 4.8
vs
Brooklyn: 4.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Washington: 35.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
106.8
115
WSH Score
105.2
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 29.4
26.5 / 39.1
Assists
24.0 / 23.9
21.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.2
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 40.3
43.5 / 44.3
Free Throw %
70.1 / 75.0
87.9 / 95.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 42.7
40.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.0
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 16.3
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BKN
WSH
BKN
ML
70%
112-49
53%
50-45
47%
39-44
59%
48-34
ATS
69%
111-49-1
52%
48-44-3
47%
39-44
59%
48-34
TTL
74%
119-41-1
57%
54-41
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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