BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
54-19 | Road
121
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
31-41 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
SPURS
100%
CELTICS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -14.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
15.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
25.5%
SA By 1-7 points
5.0%
SA By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
127.74
BOSTON
San Antonio
112.9
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Boston
BOSTON
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 240.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
BOS @ SA
116 - 125
Jan 10, 2026
SA @ BOS
100 - 95
Mar 29, 2025
BOS @ SA
121 - 111
Feb 12, 2025
SA @ BOS
103 - 116
Jan 17, 2024
SA @ BOS
98 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.8% more
Boston: 5.6
vs
San Antonio: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
Boston: 29.4
vs
San Antonio: 26.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Boston: 48.8%
vs
San Antonio: 43.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Boston: 39.5%
vs
San Antonio: 35.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
127.7
121
SA Score
112.9
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 39.5
35.0 / 33.3
Assists
26.9 / 29.4
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.6
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 48.8
43.7 / 47.9
Free Throw %
78.9 / 79.1
77.8 / 77.8
Rebounding
44.7 / 45.0
35.0 / 54.0
Steals
9.8 / 8.2
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 10.6
5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
BOS
SA
BOS
ML
60%
111-73
57%
61-46
58%
61-44
53%
47-41
ATS
58%
107-76-1
59%
61-43-3
58%
61-44
53%
47-41
TTL
74%
134-47-3
56%
60-47
100%
105-0
100%
88-0
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