PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
32-42 | Road
93
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
46-27 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
KNICKS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -14.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
POR By 1-7 points
5.6%
POR By 8-14 points
1.3%
NY By 1-7 points
16.7%
NY By 8-14 points
26.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
104.33
PORTLAND
New York
118.49
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Portland
PORTLAND
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
POR @ NY
97 - 127
Jan 11, 2026
NY @ POR
123 - 114
Mar 30, 2025
POR @ NY
93 - 110
Mar 12, 2025
NY @ POR
114 - 113
Mar 14, 2024
NY @ POR
105 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.4% more
New York: 31.2
vs
Portland: 25.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
New York: 49.5%
vs
Portland: 43.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
New York: 79.1%
vs
Portland: 74.2%
Blocks (L5)
+37.1% more
Portland: 3.7
vs
New York: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
104.3
93
NY Score
118.5
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 35.1
40.0 / 25.0
Assists
31.2 / 25.1
27.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.7
10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 43.1
53.6 / 43.7
Free Throw %
79.1 / 74.2
76.9 / 57.1
Rebounding
41.5 / 40.8
44.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.3 / 9.3
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.9
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
POR
NY
POR
ML
61%
114-72
53%
56-49
56%
57-45
55%
49-40
ATS
67%
124-62
62%
65-39-1
56%
57-45
55%
49-40
TTL
72%
133-53
56%
58-46-1
100%
102-0
100%
89-0
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