Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Hornets UTAH @ CHA

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

16-59  |  Road

106
FINAL
Mon, Mar 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

18-56  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
JAZZ --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Utah)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

58.0%

Hornets Cover

42.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.9%

UTAH By 8-14 points

18.6%

CHA By 1-7 points

23.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
105.47
UTAH
103.44
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
UTAH
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jazz (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 208.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 CHA @ UTAH 150 - 95
Nov 2, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 103 - 126
Mar 31, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 106 - 110
Jan 15, 2025 CHA @ UTAH 117 - 112
Feb 22, 2024 CHA @ UTAH 115 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +9.6% more
Utah: 17.2 vs Charlotte: 15.6
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Utah: 43.2% vs Charlotte: 40.8%
Blocks (L5) +92.5% more
Charlotte: 4.9 vs Utah: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +19.1% more
Charlotte: 46.5 vs Utah: 39.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 105.5 106
CHA Score 103.4 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 32.7 39.5 / 26.9
Assists 24.8 / 24.4 33.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.5 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 43.2 53.8 / 40.6
Free Throw % 82.1 / 77.4 64.3 / 93.3
Rebounding 46.5 / 39.0 47.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.2 / 7.0 3.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 17.2 18.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
UTAH
CHA
UTAH
ML
61% 60-39
60% 96-63
48% 40-44
48% 40-43
ATS
60% 59-40
68% 108-51
48% 40-44
48% 40-43
TTL
58% 57-42
75% 119-39-1
100% 84-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 3 hours, 28 minutes ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 3 hours, 45 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 3 hours, 53 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 9 hours, 33 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 16 hours ago