AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
KNICKS
0%
76ERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
PHI By 1-7 points
16.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
6.8%
NY By 1-7 points
26.8%
NY By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
108.3
PHILADELPHIA
New York
114.3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
NY @ PHI
144 - 114
May 8, 2026
NY @ PHI
108 - 94
May 6, 2026
PHI @ NY
102 - 108
May 4, 2026
PHI @ NY
98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026
NY @ PHI
138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
New York: 9.5
vs
Philadelphia: 7.4
Assists (L5)
+21.5% more
New York: 29.8
vs
Philadelphia: 24.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
New York: 37.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 33.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
New York: 50.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
108.3
91
NY Score
114.3
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 33.0
38.7 / 19.4
Assists
29.8 / 24.5
23.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.9 / 7.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 46.4
42.4 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 74.7
80.8 / 77.3
Rebounding
42.4 / 41.5
44.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.5 / 7.4
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 14.8
19.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61%
114-72
63%
69-40
56%
57-45
48%
45-48
ATS
67%
124-62
65%
71-38
56%
57-45
48%
45-48
TTL
72%
133-53
55%
60-49
100%
102-0
100%
93-0