ORLANDO
MAGICORL
36-40 | Road
116
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
31-43 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
SPURS
100%
MAGIC
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
25.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.0%
SA By 1-7 points
24.9%
SA By 8-14 points
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
112.57
ORLANDO
San Antonio
112.13
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Orlando
ORLANDO
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
ORL @ SA
103 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
SA @ ORL
114 - 112
Apr 1, 2025
ORL @ SA
116 - 105
Feb 8, 2025
SA @ ORL
111 - 112
Oct 9, 2024
ORL @ SA
97 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.0% more
Orlando: 3.9
vs
San Antonio: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+15.5% more
Orlando: 8.3
vs
San Antonio: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
Orlando: 80.6%
vs
San Antonio: 73.2%
Assists (L5)
+26.3% more
San Antonio: 27.5
vs
Orlando: 21.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
112.6
116
SA Score
112.1
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 32.0
40.6 / 38.3
Assists
27.5 / 21.8
24.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.9
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 44.2
49.4 / 47.8
Free Throw %
73.2 / 80.6
70.6 / 100.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 41.8
38.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.0 / 8.3
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 14.0
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
ORL
SA
ORL
ML
60%
111-73
61%
65-42
58%
61-44
56%
51-40
ATS
58%
107-76-1
64%
68-38-1
58%
61-44
56%
51-40
TTL
74%
134-47-3
57%
61-46
100%
105-0
100%
91-0
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