SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
36-39 | Road
111
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
16-59 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
KINGS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
27.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
22.9%
WSH By 1-7 points
18.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
8.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
109.28
SACRAMENTO
Washington
104.36
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
SAC @ WSH
112 - 116
Jan 16, 2026
WSH @ SAC
115 - 128
Apr 2, 2025
SAC @ WSH
111 - 116
Jan 19, 2025
WSH @ SAC
100 - 123
Mar 21, 2024
SAC @ WSH
102 - 109
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Sacramento: 37.4%
vs
Washington: 31.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Sacramento: 47.8%
vs
Washington: 42.9%
Blocks (L5)
+38.7% more
Washington: 5.0
vs
Sacramento: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+29.9% more
Washington: 9.2
vs
Sacramento: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
109.3
111
WSH Score
104.4
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 37.4
39.5 / 25.6
Assists
22.6 / 22.7
24.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.6
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 47.8
51.2 / 42.1
Free Throw %
74.8 / 74.0
72.2 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.1 / 42.8
41.0 / 48.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.1
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 14.3
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SAC
WSH
SAC
ML
70%
112-49
55%
55-45
47%
39-44
61%
50-32
ATS
69%
111-49-1
54%
52-45-3
47%
39-44
61%
50-32
TTL
74%
119-41-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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