Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Cavaliers NY @ CLE

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

48-27  |  Road

105
FINAL
Wed, Apr 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

60-15  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
KNICKS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.8
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.8 points (Cleveland)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

35.4%

Cavaliers Cover

64.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

NY By 1-7 points

20.5%

NY By 8-14 points

9.6%

CLE By 1-7 points

27.4%

CLE By 8-14 points

21.3%

AI Model Projected Score
113.7
NEW YORK
117.45
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
New York: 14.7 vs Cleveland: 12.2
Blocks (L5) +17.0% more
New York: 4.6 vs Cleveland: 3.8
Steals (L5) +9.0% more
New York: 9.7 vs Cleveland: 8.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
New York: 38.0% vs Cleveland: 35.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 113.7 105
CLE Score 117.5 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 38.0 32.4 / 30.6
Assists 27.3 / 27.5 23.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.6 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 48.0 53.2 / 44.4
Free Throw % 77.9 / 79.2 85.7 / 82.4
Rebounding 45.2 / 42.9 44.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.8 / 9.7 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 14.7 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
NY
CLE
NY
ML
60% 69-46
61% 114-72
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
ATS
67% 75-37-3
67% 124-62
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
TTL
59% 68-47
72% 133-53
100% 99-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 30 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 13 hours, 2 minutes ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 6 hours ago
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago
Heat's Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo: Can Miami Make It …
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago