NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
21-54 | Road
98
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
43-32 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
PELICANS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -3.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
NO By 1-7 points
20.4%
NO By 8-14 points
9.5%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
21.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
111.3
NEW ORLEANS
LA
115.15
LA
Simulated Score
New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
LAC @ NO
99 - 105
Mar 18, 2026
LAC @ NO
109 - 124
Mar 1, 2026
NO @ LAC
117 - 137
Oct 31, 2025
NO @ LAC
124 - 126
Apr 2, 2025
NO @ LAC
98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+15.3% more
LA: 8.8
vs
New Orleans: 7.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
LA: 81.7%
vs
New Orleans: 76.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
LA: 38.3%
vs
New Orleans: 34.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
LA: 48.6%
vs
New Orleans: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
111.3
98
LAC Score
115.2
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 34.6
40.6 / 18.2
Assists
23.5 / 26.9
27.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.3 / 6.0
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 45.2
52.6 / 50.6
Free Throw %
81.7 / 76.4
80.8 / 72.7
Rebounding
46.2 / 48.4
30.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.7
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 17.3
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
NO
LAC
NO
ML
60%
59-40
62%
98-61
55%
45-37
58%
48-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
68%
107-51-1
55%
45-37
58%
48-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
75%
119-40
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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