ORLANDO
MAGICORL
37-40 | Road
109
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
17-59 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
WIZARDS
100%
MAGIC
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.9
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.9 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -12.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
18.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.9%
WSH By 1-7 points
6.9%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
113.79
ORLANDO
Washington
100.85
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Orlando
ORLANDO
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
WSH @ ORL
131 - 136
Mar 3, 2026
WSH @ ORL
109 - 126
Jan 6, 2026
ORL @ WSH
112 - 120
Nov 1, 2025
ORL @ WSH
125 - 94
Apr 3, 2025
ORL @ WSH
109 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Orlando: 9.6
vs
Washington: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.2%
Orlando: 87.1%
vs
Washington: 73.9%
Blocks (L5)
+12.1% more
Orlando: 5.0
vs
Washington: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
113.8
109
WSH Score
100.9
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 34.1
40.0 / 36.7
Assists
23.1 / 23.8
16.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.0
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 45.4
44.7 / 46.3
Free Throw %
73.9 / 87.1
81.8 / 88.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 41.5
38.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.1 / 9.6
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.7
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
ORL
WSH
ORL
ML
70%
112-49
61%
65-42
47%
39-44
56%
51-40
ATS
69%
111-49-1
64%
68-38-1
47%
39-44
56%
51-40
TTL
74%
119-41-1
57%
61-46
100%
83-0
100%
91-0
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