NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
48-28 | Road
121
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
36-40 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
HAWKS
0%
KNICKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
NY By 1-7 points
22.0%
NY By 8-14 points
11.1%
ATL By 1-7 points
27.2%
ATL By 8-14 points
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
113.85
NEW YORK
Atlanta
116.57
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Atlanta
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
NY @ ATL
140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026
ATL @ NY
97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026
NY @ ATL
114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026
NY @ ATL
108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026
ATL @ NY
107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.0% more
Atlanta: 29.8
vs
New York: 26.4
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Atlanta: 4.1
vs
New York: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Atlanta: 83.0%
vs
New York: 80.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
113.9
121
ATL Score
116.6
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 35.6
31.1 / 51.7
Assists
29.8 / 26.4
24.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.7
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 46.8
46.6 / 53.6
Free Throw %
83.0 / 80.3
75.0 / 84.2
Rebounding
43.1 / 41.6
38.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.8
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 15.1
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
NY
ATL
NY
ML
50%
52-52
61%
114-72
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
55-48-1
67%
124-62
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
TTL
53%
55-48-1
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Hawks Look to Bounce Back Against Spurs in Preseason Clash