SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
32-45 | Road
109
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
34-44 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
SPURS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
27.3%
SA By 8-14 points
22.2%
POR By 1-7 points
19.5%
POR By 8-14 points
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
115.79
SAN ANTONIO
Portland
111.4
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Portland
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 28, 2026
POR @ SA
95 - 114
Apr 26, 2026
SA @ POR
114 - 93
Apr 24, 2026
SA @ POR
120 - 108
Apr 21, 2026
POR @ SA
106 - 103
Apr 19, 2026
POR @ SA
98 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
San Antonio: 26.7
vs
Portland: 23.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
San Antonio: 36.1%
vs
Portland: 29.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
San Antonio: 45.0%
vs
Portland: 43.2%
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
Portland: 4.9
vs
San Antonio: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
115.8
109
POR Score
111.4
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 36.1
36.6 / 32.4
Assists
23.4 / 26.7
25.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.9
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 45.0
47.2 / 43.2
Free Throw %
77.2 / 75.5
77.8 / 76.2
Rebounding
49.9 / 43.4
44.0 / 45.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.5
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 12.7
15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
SA
POR
SA
ML
53%
56-49
60%
111-73
55%
49-40
58%
61-44
ATS
62%
65-39-1
58%
107-76-1
55%
49-40
58%
61-44
TTL
56%
58-46-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
89-0
100%
105-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…