WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
17-60 | Road
90
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
57-20 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
CELTICS
0%
WIZARDS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.9
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.9 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -8.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
WSH By 1-7 points
12.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
4.1%
BOS By 1-7 points
24.4%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
107.3
WASHINGTON
Boston
116.16
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Boston
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
WSH @ BOS
100 - 111
Dec 4, 2025
BOS @ WSH
146 - 101
Nov 5, 2025
WSH @ BOS
107 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
WSH @ BOS
90 - 124
Dec 15, 2024
BOS @ WSH
112 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+35.5% more
Boston: 28.1
vs
Washington: 20.7
Rebounding (L5)
+21.6% more
Boston: 48.1
vs
Washington: 39.6
Blocks (L5)
+18.2% more
Boston: 4.6
vs
Washington: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.7%
Boston: 84.2%
vs
Washington: 76.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
107.3
90
BOS Score
116.2
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 36.3
46.2 / 26.7
Assists
28.1 / 20.7
33.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 45.3
49.0 / 40.7
Free Throw %
84.2 / 76.5
66.7 / 80.0
Rebounding
48.1 / 39.6
62.0 / 32.0
Steals
3.4 / 6.8
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 13.6
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
WSH
BOS
WSH
ML
57%
61-46
70%
112-49
53%
47-41
47%
39-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
69%
111-49-1
53%
47-41
47%
39-44
TTL
56%
60-47
74%
119-41-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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