UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-62 | Road
134
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
36-41 | Home
147
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
HAWKS
0%
JAZZ
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.4
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.4 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -8.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
UTAH By 1-7 points
13.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
4.5%
ATL By 1-7 points
24.9%
ATL By 8-14 points
26.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
106.06
UTAH
Atlanta
114.5
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Atlanta
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UTAH @ ATL
119 - 121
Nov 13, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
132 - 122
Apr 6, 2025
UTAH @ ATL
134 - 147
Jan 7, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
124 - 121
Mar 15, 2024
ATL @ UTAH
122 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+86.0% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Utah: 2.7
Steals (L5)
+36.1% more
Atlanta: 9.8
vs
Utah: 7.2
Assists (L5)
+18.6% more
Atlanta: 27.9
vs
Utah: 23.5
Turnovers (L5)
+8.9% more
Atlanta: 14.3
vs
Utah: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
106.1
134
ATL Score
114.5
147
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 29.5
53.7 / 42.6
Assists
27.9 / 23.5
43.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.0 / 2.7
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 40.8
56.8 / 51.7
Free Throw %
80.3 / 79.8
85.0 / 85.7
Rebounding
41.4 / 43.6
42.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.8 / 7.2
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 13.1
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
UTAH
ATL
UTAH
ML
50%
52-52
60%
96-63
55%
48-40
48%
40-43
ATS
53%
55-48-1
68%
108-51
55%
48-40
48%
40-43
TTL
53%
55-48-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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