Home / NBA Projections NBA / Suns @ Knicks PHX @ NY

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

35-42  |  Road

98
FINAL
Sun, Apr 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

49-28  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
SUNS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (New York)
SunsPHX (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Suns Cover

11.8%

Knicks Cover

88.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

PHX By 1-7 points

8.2%

PHX By 8-14 points

2.2%

NY By 1-7 points

20.4%

NY By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
106.61
PHOENIX
118.45
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
PHOENIX
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 PHX @ NY 106 - 99
Jan 9, 2026 NY @ PHX 107 - 112
Apr 6, 2025 PHX @ NY 98 - 112
Nov 20, 2024 NY @ PHX 138 - 122
Dec 15, 2023 NY @ PHX 139 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.4% more
New York: 4.2 vs Phoenix: 2.5
Steals (L5) +28.9% more
New York: 8.5 vs Phoenix: 6.6
Turnovers (L5) +13.7% more
New York: 14.7 vs Phoenix: 13.0
Assists (L5) +10.3% more
New York: 28.2 vs Phoenix: 25.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHX Score 106.6 98
NY Score 118.5 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.9 / 36.6 42.9 / 11.8
Assists 28.2 / 25.6 28.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 46.8 54.1 / 42.4
Free Throw % 81.6 / 82.5 83.3 / 84.2
Rebounding 40.4 / 38.7 41.0 / 35.0
Steals 8.5 / 6.6 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 13.0 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHX
NY
PHX
ML
61% 114-72
57% 60-45
56% 57-45
51% 45-43
ATS
67% 124-62
58% 59-43-3
56% 57-45
51% 45-43
TTL
72% 133-53
59% 61-42-2
100% 102-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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