Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ Knicks BOS @ NY

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

58-20  |  Road

119
FINAL
Tue, Apr 8 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

50-28  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.4 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

85.1%

Knicks Cover

14.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -10.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

22.5%

BOS By 8-14 points

27.3%

NY By 1-7 points

10.1%

NY By 8-14 points

3.0%

AI Model Projected Score
123.73
BOSTON
113.33
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
BOSTON
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 237.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 BOS @ NY 106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026 NY @ BOS 111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025 NY @ BOS 117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025 BOS @ NY 95 - 105
May 16, 2025 BOS @ NY 81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +23.0% more
Boston: 52.7 vs New York: 40.6
Blocks (L5) +20.5% more
Boston: 4.7 vs New York: 3.8
Steals (L5) +79.9% more
New York: 7.7 vs Boston: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
New York: 14.8 vs Boston: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 123.7 119
NY Score 113.3 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.6 / 38.3 28.9 / 38.8
Assists 28.2 / 29.7 28.0 / 26.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.7 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 48.1 47.5 / 46.0
Free Throw % 82.2 / 78.4 62.5 / 80.0
Rebounding 40.6 / 52.7 52.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.7 / 4.3 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 11.6 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BOS
NY
BOS
ML
61% 114-72
57% 61-46
56% 57-45
53% 47-41
ATS
67% 124-62
59% 61-43-3
56% 57-45
53% 47-41
TTL
72% 133-53
56% 60-47
100% 102-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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