NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
21-57 | Road
114
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
25-53 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
NETS
100%
PELICANS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.6
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.6 points (New Orleans)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -7.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
NO By 1-7 points
25.7%
NO By 8-14 points
25.9%
BKN By 1-7 points
14.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
5.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
104.11
NEW ORLEANS
Brooklyn
96.47
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 200.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
BKN @ NO
113 - 116
Dec 6, 2025
NO @ BKN
101 - 119
Apr 8, 2025
NO @ BKN
114 - 119
Nov 11, 2024
BKN @ NO
107 - 105
Mar 19, 2024
NO @ BKN
104 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.8% more
New Orleans: 4.8
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
New Orleans: 46.8%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
New Orleans: 34.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 31.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.0%
Brooklyn: 77.9%
vs
New Orleans: 69.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
104.1
114
BKN Score
96.5
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 34.2
42.5 / 36.4
Assists
26.9 / 28.6
30.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.8
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 46.8
49.4 / 47.6
Free Throw %
77.9 / 69.0
83.3 / 77.4
Rebounding
42.1 / 44.6
40.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.2
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 15.4
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
Advantage
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
NO
BKN
NO
ML
53%
50-45
62%
98-61
59%
48-34
58%
48-35
ATS
52%
48-44-3
68%
107-51-1
59%
48-34
58%
48-35
TTL
57%
54-41
75%
119-40
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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