Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Wizards PHI @ WSH

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

23-56  |  Road

122
FINAL
Wed, Apr 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

17-62  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
76ERS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

73.5%

Wizards Cover

26.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

26.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

24.6%

WSH By 1-7 points

16.5%

WSH By 8-14 points

6.5%

AI Model Projected Score
106.46
PHILADELPHIA
100.19
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 206.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.8% more
Philadelphia: 8.1 vs Washington: 4.8
Assists (L5) +17.2% more
Philadelphia: 24.0 vs Washington: 19.9
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Philadelphia: 45.6% vs Washington: 43.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
Washington: 76.2% vs Philadelphia: 70.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 106.5 122
WSH Score 100.2 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 31.2 30.3 / 32.0
Assists 19.9 / 24.0 22.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.7 2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 45.6 39.1 / 42.9
Free Throw % 76.2 / 70.1 83.3 / 73.7
Rebounding 41.4 / 40.8 47.0 / 55.0
Steals 4.8 / 8.1 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 13.9 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
PHI
WSH
PHI
ML
70% 112-49
63% 69-40
47% 39-44
48% 45-48
ATS
69% 111-49-1
65% 71-38
47% 39-44
48% 45-48
TTL
74% 119-41-1
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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