PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
35-44 | Road
126
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-63 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
JAZZ
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
POR By 1-7 points
26.3%
POR By 8-14 points
17.2%
UTAH By 1-7 points
24.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
13.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
110.03
PORTLAND
Utah
108.85
UTAH
Simulated Score
Portland
PORTLAND
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTAH @ POR
114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026
POR @ UTAH
135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026
UTAH @ POR
117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025
POR @ UTAH
136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025
POR @ UTAH
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.0% more
Portland: 4.9
vs
Utah: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Portland: 47.9
vs
Utah: 39.8
Turnovers (L5)
+14.4% more
Portland: 14.1
vs
Utah: 12.1
Steals (L5)
+13.9% more
Portland: 9.5
vs
Utah: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
110.0
126
UTAH Score
108.9
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 31.8
41.7 / 24.4
Assists
25.3 / 23.9
27.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.9
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 44.5
51.0 / 46.2
Free Throw %
81.8 / 77.4
81.8 / 67.9
Rebounding
39.8 / 47.9
56.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.2 / 9.5
14.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 14.1
24.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
POR
UTAH
POR
ML
60%
96-63
53%
56-49
48%
40-43
55%
49-40
ATS
68%
108-51
62%
65-39-1
48%
40-43
55%
49-40
TTL
75%
119-39-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
89-0
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