Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pistons NY @ DET

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

50-29  |  Road

106
FINAL
Thu, Apr 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

43-36  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
PISTONS
100%
KNICKS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

66.9%

Pistons Cover

33.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.3%

NY By 8-14 points

22.2%

DET By 1-7 points

19.6%

DET By 8-14 points

8.8%

AI Model Projected Score
118.06
NEW YORK
113.69
DETROIT
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 DET @ NY 126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026 NY @ DET 80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026 NY @ DET 90 - 121
May 1, 2025 NY @ DET 116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025 DET @ NY 106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.1% more
New York: 13.6 vs Detroit: 10.6
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
New York: 49.7% vs Detroit: 44.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
New York: 37.4% vs Detroit: 33.0%
Blocks (L5) +16.4% more
Detroit: 5.3 vs New York: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 118.1 106
DET Score 113.7 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 37.4 36.4 / 32.4
Assists 26.4 / 28.1 20.0 / 32.0
Blocks 5.3 / 4.5 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 49.7 57.3 / 46.7
Free Throw % 77.5 / 75.6 72.2 / 78.6
Rebounding 41.8 / 44.4 35.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.8 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 13.6 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NY
DET
NY
ML
55% 64-53
61% 114-72
49% 47-49
56% 57-45
ATS
53% 60-54-3
67% 124-62
49% 47-49
56% 57-45
TTL
60% 70-46-1
72% 133-53
100% 96-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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