Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Knicks CLE @ NY

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

63-17  |  Road

108
FINAL
Fri, Apr 11 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

50-30  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.7
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.7 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

68.2%

Knicks Cover

31.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -4.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

27.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

22.7%

NY By 1-7 points

19.0%

NY By 8-14 points

8.3%

AI Model Projected Score
120.54
CLEVELAND
115.81
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
CLEVELAND
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 236.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Cleveland: 45.6 vs New York: 40.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Cleveland: 41.3% vs New York: 35.7%
Blocks (L5) +38.0% more
New York: 5.0 vs Cleveland: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +12.6% more
New York: 14.7 vs Cleveland: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 120.5 108
NY Score 115.8 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 41.3 39.0 / 35.5
Assists 29.4 / 28.6 22.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.0 / 3.6 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 48.3 40.9 / 49.4
Free Throw % 76.6 / 68.3 70.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 40.9 / 45.6 35.0 / 49.0
Steals 8.9 / 8.8 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 13.1 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
61% 114-72
60% 69-46
56% 57-45
56% 55-44
ATS
67% 124-62
67% 75-37-3
56% 57-45
56% 55-44
TTL
72% 133-53
59% 68-47
100% 102-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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