Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Warriors LAC @ GS

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

49-32  |  Road

124
FINAL
Sun, Apr 13 • 3:30 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

48-33  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
WARRIORS
100%
CLIPPERS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (LA)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

67.7%

Warriors Cover

32.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-7 points

27.3%

LAC By 8-14 points

22.5%

GS By 1-7 points

19.2%

GS By 8-14 points

8.5%

AI Model Projected Score
121.65
LA
117.07
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
LA
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clippers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 238.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 GS @ LAC 126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026 GS @ LAC 110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026 LAC @ GS 114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026 GS @ LAC 102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025 LAC @ GS 79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
LA: 52.0% vs Golden State: 43.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
LA: 41.5% vs Golden State: 35.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
LA: 82.8% vs Golden State: 80.2%
Blocks (L5) +54.2% more
Golden State: 3.9 vs LA: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 121.7 124
GS Score 117.1 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 41.5 45.5 / 46.7
Assists 28.1 / 25.9 31.0 / 28.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.5 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 52.0 54.4 / 55.8
Free Throw % 80.2 / 82.8 78.3 / 77.8
Rebounding 46.4 / 42.3 25.0 / 42.0
Steals 12.2 / 8.1 11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 12.5 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
GS
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
LAC
GS
LAC
ML
55% 95-79
60% 59-40
58% 49-35
55% 45-37
ATS
58% 101-73
66% 65-33-1
58% 49-35
55% 45-37
TTL
77% 134-40
59% 58-40-1
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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