DETROIT
PISTONSDET
0-1 | Road
100
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
1-0 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
KNICKS
0%
PISTONS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
DET By 1-7 points
21.2%
DET By 8-14 points
10.3%
NY By 1-7 points
27.3%
NY By 8-14 points
20.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
111.69
DETROIT
New York
114.98
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
DETROIT
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DET @ NY
126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026
NY @ DET
80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026
NY @ DET
90 - 121
May 1, 2025
NY @ DET
116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025
DET @ NY
106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+68.5% more
New York: 10.5
vs
Detroit: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
New York: 82.1%
vs
Detroit: 69.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.4% more
Detroit: 15.1
vs
New York: 12.3
Blocks (L5)
+17.8% more
Detroit: 6.6
vs
New York: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
111.7
100
NY Score
115.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 40.9
28.6 / 22.2
Assists
26.6 / 27.1
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.5 / 6.6
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 48.2
42.0 / 44.6
Free Throw %
82.1 / 69.1
84.2 / 82.4
Rebounding
38.2 / 39.6
34.0 / 48.0
Steals
10.5 / 6.2
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 15.1
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DET
NY
DET
ML
61%
114-72
55%
64-53
56%
57-45
49%
47-49
ATS
67%
124-62
53%
60-54-3
56%
57-45
49%
47-49
TTL
72%
133-53
60%
70-46-1
100%
102-0
100%
96-0
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