NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
1-1 | Road
118
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
1-1 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
PISTONS
0%
KNICKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
NY By 1-7 points
22.3%
NY By 8-14 points
11.4%
DET By 1-7 points
27.1%
DET By 8-14 points
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
110.43
NEW YORK
Detroit
112.94
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Detroit
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DET @ NY
126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026
NY @ DET
80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026
NY @ DET
90 - 121
May 1, 2025
NY @ DET
116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025
DET @ NY
106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.2% more
Detroit: 5.8
vs
New York: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+19.5% more
Detroit: 15.4
vs
New York: 12.9
Rebounding (L5)
+15.2% more
Detroit: 42.4
vs
New York: 36.8
Steals (L5)
+32.8% more
New York: 9.7
vs
Detroit: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
110.4
118
DET Score
112.9
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 34.6
43.2 / 37.5
Assists
21.7 / 22.8
22.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.0
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 45.7
45.3 / 46.5
Free Throw %
73.6 / 82.8
81.5 / 89.7
Rebounding
42.4 / 36.8
43.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.7
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.9
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NY
DET
NY
ML
55%
64-53
61%
114-72
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
124-62
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
TTL
60%
70-46-1
72%
133-53
100%
96-0
100%
102-0
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