Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pistons NY @ DET

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

2-1  |  Road

94
FINAL
Sun, Apr 27 • 1:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

1-2  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
KNICKS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Detroit)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

45.1%

Pistons Cover

54.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

NY By 1-7 points

24.0%

NY By 8-14 points

13.3%

DET By 1-7 points

26.4%

DET By 8-14 points

17.3%

AI Model Projected Score
112.24
NEW YORK
113.47
DETROIT
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pistons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 DET @ NY 126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026 NY @ DET 80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026 NY @ DET 90 - 121
May 1, 2025 NY @ DET 116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025 DET @ NY 106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.9% more
Detroit: 14.9 vs New York: 12.3
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Detroit: 42.6 vs New York: 37.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Detroit: 37.5% vs New York: 35.6%
Steals (L5) +37.4% more
New York: 10.1 vs Detroit: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 112.2 94
DET Score 113.5 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.5 / 35.6 24.1 / 45.5
Assists 21.8 / 22.5 18.0 / 19.0
Blocks 5.2 / 5.0 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 46.0 42.9 / 37.4
Free Throw % 76.2 / 85.1 82.4 / 61.1
Rebounding 42.6 / 37.9 54.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.3 / 10.1 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 12.3 19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NY
DET
NY
ML
55% 64-53
61% 114-72
49% 47-49
56% 57-45
ATS
53% 60-54-3
67% 124-62
49% 47-49
56% 57-45
TTL
60% 70-46-1
72% 133-53
100% 96-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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