Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pistons @ Knicks DET @ NY

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

1-3  |  Road

106
FINAL
Tue, Apr 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

3-1  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
PISTONS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (New York)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

41.4%

Knicks Cover

58.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

DET By 1-7 points

22.8%

DET By 8-14 points

11.9%

NY By 1-7 points

26.9%

NY By 8-14 points

18.8%

AI Model Projected Score
109.95
DETROIT
112.12
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
DETROIT
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 DET @ NY 126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026 NY @ DET 80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026 NY @ DET 90 - 121
May 1, 2025 NY @ DET 116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025 DET @ NY 106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +67.5% more
New York: 10.4 vs Detroit: 6.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
New York: 38.9% vs Detroit: 33.0%
Blocks (L5) +33.0% more
Detroit: 6.5 vs New York: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +29.4% more
Detroit: 16.3 vs New York: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 110.0 106
NY Score 112.1 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 33.0 36.0 / 27.6
Assists 21.3 / 20.5 19.0 / 21.0
Blocks 4.3 / 6.5 10.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 45.3 43.3 / 42.4
Free Throw % 77.1 / 78.3 59.3 / 72.2
Rebounding 37.9 / 46.4 49.0 / 45.0
Steals 10.4 / 6.2 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 16.3 15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DET
NY
DET
ML
61% 114-72
55% 64-53
56% 57-45
49% 47-49
ATS
67% 124-62
53% 60-54-3
56% 57-45
49% 47-49
TTL
72% 133-53
60% 70-46-1
100% 102-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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