NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
3-2 | Road
116
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
2-3 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
PISTONS
100%
KNICKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
26.0%
NY By 8-14 points
16.4%
DET By 1-7 points
24.6%
DET By 8-14 points
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
110.76
NEW YORK
Detroit
110.07
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Detroit
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DET @ NY
126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026
NY @ DET
80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026
NY @ DET
90 - 121
May 1, 2025
NY @ DET
116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025
DET @ NY
106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.0% more
New York: 8.6
vs
Detroit: 7.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
New York: 37.9%
vs
Detroit: 31.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+22.5% more
Detroit: 15.5
vs
New York: 12.7
Blocks (L5)
+17.6% more
Detroit: 7.3
vs
New York: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
110.8
116
DET Score
110.1
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 37.9
26.5 / 33.3
Assists
20.7 / 20.6
25.0 / 18.0
Blocks
7.3 / 6.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 43.2
46.9 / 47.7
Free Throw %
76.2 / 71.2
84.8 / 80.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 41.6
36.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.1 / 8.6
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 12.7
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NY
DET
NY
ML
55%
64-53
61%
114-72
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
124-62
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
TTL
60%
70-46-1
72%
133-53
100%
96-0
100%
102-0
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